Tuesday 15 June 2010

Short term poker goals. And some hands from today

Bet sizing - dont just bet 1/2pot because its a type 1 board, think about who the villain is and his range? if villain is never folding a pair, bet big for value. If villan is folding to any bet, bet smaller as a bluff.

3betting - 3betting different ranges vs different players. More tweener hands if they like calling, and suited trash if they fold too much. And pay more attention to gameflow, adjust air:nut ratio based on recent history. dont just 3bet bluff because it is in our normal air function.

Cbetting - just like bet sizing, think about who villain is, how hard did the board hit him? How likely is he going to peel light? Think about his strong/weak range on the turn, can we fold out his weak hands by firing multiple barrels? knowing where the point of honesty is for villain.

Dont call too much in the blinds - Dont defend shit like small SCs and PPs just because bobbo is doing it, just have to admit i am not good enough to play them profitably OOP for now.

PSR - beware with PSR at all time to plan better bet size, and think about how to max vs worse hands with diff PSR.

Hand 1: Facing donk bets 3 streets
Villain is 20/15 donk bet 11% of the time.
History: I joined this site 2days ago, and villain has been pretty aggressive preflop against me, but i have been owning him with 4bet bluffs + he ran into the nuts a few times. My image is pretty laggy, running at around 28/24 3bet round 10%

I can def see him donking the flop as a bluff, but when he donk into me 3streets, i think its either air or nuts. There is no semibluff in his range, i have a bluffcatcher on the river. His value range is really narrow but i just dont think he is donking 3 streets into me as a bluff, i guess i should fold?

Hand 2: Value bet river?
Same villain but this hand actually happened before.
I think when he calls my cbet, his range cant be very strong as i expect most sets and straight will raise flop, i think with FD he will raise me some% of the time too, i think his mostly range is 77 - JJ pair + str8 draw etc. So after he calls my cbet i planned on firing 3 barrels on good turn and river cards. Turn is pretty decent card to rep so i went ahead and bet it, but i expect most mid pairs will still call one more street so i was going to bluff him on most rivers.
But now i hit my ace which i think its the best hand like always, how should i maximize? Shall i value bet? i think all those mid pairs i ve mentioned earlier will have a tough time calling, if i decide to bet, how much shall i bet? a small bet since his range is most likely to be weak? or shall i bet big to look like a bluff? or is checking to bluff catch vs missed draws a better idea?

Hand 3: TP 3bet pot
Villain is 18/14 folds to resteal 67%. I dont really feel all that comfortable calling with ATo OOP vs this guy so decided to 3bet which is probably bad.
Even tho i flopped TP, i m not that excited because he is pretty tight. Do we want to just bet 3 streets for value? or is my line ok?

Monday 14 June 2010

Ok, i lied!! some hands

After writing up my rountine, i didnt stick to it. i have been getting up early everyday, have breakfast lunch regularly, but i havent stick to my playing schedule. I have been playing very little over the last 2 weeks, instead of playing, i have been working on my game.

I have been watching these vids made by a stox coach called matt janda teaching how to play game theory optimal. I found the vids very very interesting, it showed me what is the optimal calling frequency vs different bet sizes on each street and optimal bluffing frequencies based on my best sizes. I dont know how useful this GTO stuff is to my game, i m not planning on playing GTO, just thought knowing what the optimal strategy will allow me to understand better at exploiting people's leaks.

I have also been using stoxev, to work on 3betting ranges and 4betting ranges and calculate the EV of my cbetting strategies on different boards. i feel like stoxev has improved my understanding of the game a lot, i think i know a lot better when to cbet, when to fire multiple barrels and when not to.

I dont think the reason i havnet been playing is because i m lazy, i think the reason is i enjoy learning about the game too much. I spend most of my time watching vids, thinking about 3betting and 4betting ranges, calculating EV and making a ton of notes. i just dont want to play until i have totally understood the concept i have been working on. And by the time i finish with 1 concept, i will want to learn another 1, it just never end.

I need to find a way of balancing my playing and learning, theres no point in learning all these stuff if i dont play. Right now, i m probably doing 80% learning and 20% playing. I am going to change slowly, starting from this week, i will be doing 50% leaning and 50% playing, nxt week i will be doing 60/40 and hopefully 75/25 the week after that.

Anyway enough bullshit, lets look at some of the hands i have played lately. All of these hands are 50NL euro games which works out to be around 60NL. I will be grinding this stake for a month and hopefully my roll will be big enough for me to move up to the 100nl euros games.

Hand 1: misplayed AA,
Villain is a 26/4 passive fish, flop is obv standard, i bet on the bigger side because he is unlikely to fold any pair. On the turn, i suffered from the monster under the bed sydrome, i was really worried he hit his 9. But thinking about it now, there shouldnt be too many 9x in his range, i shud just bet bigger for value vs pp and charge draws. On the river, i wasn't sure if i should value bet, there shouldnt be any Kx in his range unless its Kxss, TT- QQ will prob raise PF, and i wasnt sure if 5x, 66- 88 will call another bet.

Hand 2: Value bet river?
Villain is 13/7 nit, betting flop and turn is standard, if i get raised on the turn, i will prob have to fold since he is so nitty. On the river, i dont think he is ever folding Qx but i only beat KQ, QT, JT. But QT and JT is prob not even ijn his PF calling range, i guess this is too thin and i should just c/f the river.

Hand 3: Boat on river 3bet pot.
Villain is 27/20, raise 1st 41%, fold to 3bet 68%.
PF, he is folding to a lot of 3bet and he is OOP, i think my air to nut ratio should be pretty wide here, probably 4:1 at least.
Flop: the board is kind of drawy PSR is 5.7. I didnt pay attention to the stack size and thought we are just 100bb deep, so i thought of just betting pot on flop and shove turn.
Turn: I realized i fucked up my bet size on the flop, leaving an awkward stack size opn the turn. I didnt want to bet small since there are now two flushes on the board, but i donty really want to just shove. but thinking about it now, i should either bet small giving him a chance to shove over with his draw or just shove and get called by AJ, KJ and may be TT that didnt 4bet PF.
River: not the best card for me, it is quite plausible he has Jx here, FD prob shove flop some % of the time. I cant really see him bluffing here, eff is 40bb with 150bb in the pot, he cant expect me to fold anything. what shall i do here? can i call?

Hand 4: 3bet pot spew
Villain is 20/15, fold to resteal 75%. since he is folding so much i dont want really to 3bet tweener hands vs him, so i made my Kxs and Qxs my bluff range here.
Flop: PSR is 5, the board hit his range pretty well, so i guess i shouldnt really bet the flop, but i thought i have a over and BDFD lets give it a go. He tanked and called.
Turn: because of his timing on the flop, it really made me believe he wasnt very comfortable with his what is most likely to be a marginal hand. 8 is a bad double barrel card, and i assume he knows this so if i bet here i will actually look really strong (prob levelling myself). I decided to go ahead and bet 1/2p because i think it is big enough to put his whole stack at risk and i m giving myself a good price on the bluff. But with no equity whatsoever, i should just check and give up

Hand 5: FPS again?
Villain is 21/16 cbet 50% of the time
Flop: i think when he checks turn, he has a marginally hand very often and air obv.
Turn: since i think he hasa marginal hand here a lot, it makes me want to bluff him. I could lead out here and bet river, but i wasn't sure if 2 bets s enought to make him fold, so i went for a c/r thinking i can put pressure on his med strength hand and fold out his air.
River: so at this point, i think its pretty clear he has a marginal hand, so i went ahead and bet to try and get him fold. I know i m not repping anything, but i think people at this stake generally concerns more with their hands rather than mine.

Martin